Europe has committed to becoming climate-neutral by 2050. But how can we get there in a way thatâs technically feasible, economically responsible, and fair to all member states? Researchers from Aarhus University and the Technical University of Denmark offer an answer in a new study published in Nature Communications.
Using an advanced energy model of the entire continent, the researchers explored what happens if each country must be self-sufficient in energy on an annual basisâthat is, producing as much energy as it consumes within its borders. Not as a form of isolationism, but as a principle of energy justice and resilience.
The result is surprisingly positive. âOur study shows that climate neutrality doesnât have to come at the cost of energy fairness,â says postdoc Parisa Rahdan, lead author of the article. âWith smart technologies and a coordinated effort, we can shape a transition where all countries both contribute and benefit.â
The study demonstrates that Europe can achieve netâzero emissions, a state where no more greenhouse gases are emitted than can be absorbed through reforestation, carbon storage, or technological solutions. This is essential for meeting the Paris Agreementâs goal of limiting global warming. And it can be done with an average cost increase of only 2.1% compared to the most costâeffective scenario without selfâsufficiency.
For countries that are currently dependent on energy imports, such as Belgium and the Netherlands, costs may rise significantly, up to 150%, while others may save. But overall, this leads to a more balanced distribution of solar and wind installations and a fairer, more resilient transition.
Solar power and cooperation are key
One of the most important technologies in the scenario is solar energy, particularly new configurations of solar panels. The models show that singleâaxis tracking systems, which follow the sun from east to west throughout the day, are costâeffective across Europe. Moreover, underdimensioning inverters turns out to be a financially sound strategy, as solar panels rarely operate at full capacity.
âTechnologies once deemed too expensive have now become costâeffective solutions because the price of solar panels has dropped dramatically,â says Parisa Rahdan. âThis includes inverter sizing and configurations where solar panels are tilted east and west.â
These solutions are especially valuable in densely populated or landâconstrained countries, where they can maximize energy yield per area and support selfâsufficiency.
The researchers also stress that selfâsufficiency does not mean isolation. Even as electricity production becomes more localized, countries will continue to trade synthetic oil, methanol, and hydrogen produced in resourceârich regions.
The result is a picture of Europeâs energy system as a green puzzle: a system where the pieces fit together precisely because every country contributesâand receives support from neighbors.
Political momentum
A key question is whether the necessary scaleâup of solar and wind is realistic.
According to the researchersâ analysis, it isâbut only if many countries significantly ramp up development. Using historical data as a baseline, the study shows that required growth rates exceed past records in several countries, but not by an unattainable margin.
âWe need to raise our level of ambition,â says Parisa Rahdan. âBut we also see that technological development and political momentum are pointing in the right direction. The time to act is now.â
The study sends a clear message to national policymakers and the EU: Make room for new solar technologies in energy models. Promote global coordination. And remember that energy justice can be a strength in the transition, not a barrier.
More information:
Parisa Rahdan et al, Strategic deployment of solar photovoltaics for achieving self-sufficiency in Europe throughout the energy transition, Nature Communications (2025). DOI: 10.1038/s41467-025-61492-9
Citation:
New solar panel designs could help Europe achieve fair and resilient energy goals (2025, July 15)
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